Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.204564 0.285337 0.376109 0.483514 0.605231 0.737268 0.889817
2025-11-02 0.095994 0.193710 0.321517 0.489163 0.694198 0.929732 1.214541
2025-11-09 0.037365 0.124367 0.259403 0.453658 0.705652 1.006914 1.382063
2025-11-16 0.007804 0.072881 0.203592 0.412550 0.699949 1.056257 1.511296
2025-11-23 0.000294 0.046307 0.174291 0.399274 0.723273 1.135752 1.671859
2025-11-30 NaN 0.033035 0.162573 0.408211 0.773769 1.247572 1.870505
2025-12-07 NaN 0.020216 0.144705 0.403649 0.803184 1.330859 2.032813
2025-12-14 NaN 0.009201 0.121466 0.385503 0.810454 1.383518 2.155554
2025-12-21 NaN 0.007537 0.125981 0.415750 0.887891 1.528341 2.394179
2025-12-28 NaN 0.006262 0.131009 0.446730 0.966418 1.674740 2.635043
2026-01-04 NaN 0.003962 0.128752 0.463331 1.023184 1.792063 2.839107
2026-01-11 NaN 0.004100 0.139835 0.505833 1.119221 1.962225 3.110686
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003322 0.145650 0.540170 1.206314 2.124929 3.378863
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001258 0.137830 0.547152 1.252235 2.233244 3.579228
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.110196 0.509198 1.226417 2.242692 3.651506
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.083197 0.465511 1.187935 2.232475 3.696643
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.070516 0.451338 1.194920 2.283678 3.820198
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.067478 0.460874 1.240754 2.389149 4.014716
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.059673 0.456008 1.261842 2.459442 4.162889
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.047927 0.436644 1.256992 2.492216 4.261118
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.052961 0.468908 1.341587 2.652951 4.528938
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.058238 0.501885 1.427466 2.815619 4.799466
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.058614 0.519528 1.486769 2.940342 5.019854